Companies Without Much Debt Are Hammering Levered Rivals
By NORM ALSTER,In early 2007, as private equity firms pushed up prices on all sorts of assets, Penn National Gaming emerged as a target. Fortress Investment and Centerbridge Partners were willing, they said, to pay $6.1 billion for the riverboat and racetrack slot operator.
But as credit markets chilled and asset prices tumbled, the big-buck buyers, toes frozen, backed off.
Shareholders may have been disappointed at the time. But Penn National (PENN) was spared the onerous debt of a leveraged buyout. Now it's one of the few players poised to play a bigger role in the crippled gaming industry.
"They're much less leveraged. They're in a much better financial position," said Michael Paladino, senior director with Fitch Ratings.
Many leveraged casino operators are starting to look as penniless and hopeless as the bleary-eyed losers on Vegas streets. The threat of credit downgrades and even bankruptcy hangs over Harrah's, MGM Mirage (MGM), Las Vegas Sands (LVS) and others. But Penn National and off-Strip operator Boyd Gaming (BYD) are poised to strike.
"They both have the liquidity to potentially close a major transaction," said Paladino.
Boyd has been eyeing its main rival, Station Casinos, itself the indebted victim of a 2007 LBO.
Gaming is just one sector where companies with strong balance sheets can put the hammer down on leveraged rivals via takeovers, grabbing market share or making long-term investments.
"We are seeing this play out in multiple industries," said Sam Silvers, national practice leader for finance transformation at Deloitte.
It's a global story as well. Chinese companies, often backed by the dollar-flush Chinese government, have been on a buying spree. Since the start of 2008, Chinese firms have announced more than 300 foreign takeovers totaling nearly $68 billion, says Dealogic.
In the U.S., drug giants Merck (MRK) and Pfizer (PFE) this year have unveiled deals to buy Wyeth (WYE) and Schering-Plough (SGP), respectively.
Tim Nolan, a partner with Boston Consulting Group, expects more but smaller deals. "There are a lot of very strong pharma companies that have very long acquisition lists. Many small biotechs are running out of capital," he said.
More broadly, "in a tight credit environment, companies that are not at the mercy of Wall Street and the bankers tend to do better," said Eric Cinnamond, portfolio manager of Intrepid Small Cap Fund .
Academic research backs that up. Low-leverage firms have more of an advantage when revenue is falling, according to a 2003 study by a University of Illinois researcher.
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